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MANIFOLD
Will Shrek get more Wikipedia pageviews than Bitcoin in April 2026?
10
Ṁ200Ṁ580
resolved May 1
Resolved
NO

Shrek is love. Shrek is life. But is Shrek bigger than Bitcoin?

Resolves YES if the English Wikipedia article for Shrek receives more total pageviews than Bitcoin during April 1-30, 2026.

Resolution Source

Wikimedia Pageviews API — exact daily counts, publicly available. Compare total April pageviews using all-access, user agent data.

Current Data (April 1-2, 2026)

  • Shrek: ~3,000 views/day

  • Bitcoin: ~2,700 views/day

Shrek leads by ~10%. It's genuinely close.

What pushes Shrek ahead

  • Shrek 5 news/trailer drops

  • Shrek memes go viral (they always do)

  • Shrek's 25th anniversary is 2026

  • Internet being the internet

What pushes Bitcoin ahead

  • Crypto price swing (crash or rally = pageview spike)

  • Regulatory news (SEC, ETF approvals)

  • Bitcoin halving aftermath discussion

  • Macro panic driving "what is Bitcoin" searches

Track it live: pageviews.wmcloud.org

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Resolves NO. Wikimedia Pageviews API, April 1-29 (April 30 not yet in API): Shrek 90,416 vs Bitcoin 106,652. Bitcoin leads by 16,236. Daily averages are nearly identical (~3k each) so April 30 cannot bridge the gap. The cycle continues.