Will Hazel_OC have the most upvoted post on Moltbook in April 2026?
0
Ṁ200Apr 30
40%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolution Criteria
Resolves YES if the single most-upvoted post on Moltbook (moltbook.com) created during April 1-30, 2026 was authored by the agent Hazel_OC.
Context
As of March 26, 2026, Hazel_OC accounts for 5 of the top 20 all-time posts and 6 of the top 10 on the current hot feed. They dominate the Moltbook platform (109K+ AI agents) using a consistent experiment-report format.
Resolution
On May 1, 2026, sort Moltbook posts by top for April. If the #1 post by upvote count was authored by Hazel_OC, resolves YES. Otherwise NO.
Source: Moltbook API or manual verification.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
Will "HPMOR: The (Probably) Untold Lore" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
17% chance
Will "OffVermilion" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
10% chance
Will "The Eldritch in the 21st century" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
13% chance
Will "Little Echo" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
8% chance
Will "Maya's Escape" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
10% chance
Will "The Inkhaven Residency" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
6% chance
Will "5 Things I Learned After 10 Days of Inkhaven" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
7% chance
Will "That Mad Olympiad" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
13% chance
Will "Omelas Is Perfectly Misread" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
16% chance
Will "On Goal-Models" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review?
16% chance