This market resolves YES if Clarence Thomas recuses himself from the next Trump case that makes it to the Supreme Court. Otherwise it resolves NO.

In October 2023 The Court released the following statement “The petition for a writ of certiorari is denied. Justice Thomas took no part in the consideration or decision of this petition,” was all that was written on a list of rulings released Monday by the Supreme Court. No reason for Thomas’ recusal was given." https://ny1.com/nyc/all-boroughs/politics/2023/10/02/clarence-thomas-recusal-supreme-court