Xiaofeng Wang, a cryptography professor at Indiana University, had his house raided by the FBI. His whereabouts are currently unknown. Details concerning this investigation are not currently available, but some believe they will not be disclosed because of national security reasons.
This market resolves YES if there's an official statement regarding why this raid took place. If a credible source (e.g. a whistleblower) reveals this information this market resolves YES. If there's no credible information by 2026, this market resolves NO.
Update 2025-10-16 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The market will resolve YES based on unsealed legal documents that state federal agents were seeking records related to false statements, theft or bribery concerning programs receiving federal funds and wire fraud, even though the core "why" behind the raid approval remains unknown. The creator considers this minimal information sufficient to meet the resolution criteria of knowing "why federal agents raided the house."
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The unsealed documents state:
>Federal agents were seeking records related to federal crimes of false statements, theft or bribery concerning programs receiving federal funds and wire fraud.
This is very little info, but fits the description criteria, even if the core "why" remains unknown. We don't know why the raid was approved, but we know why federal agents raided the house.
I think the market should resolve YES, but I'll listen to the NO holders if they want to make their point.
https://www.indystar.com/story/news/crime/2025/10/07/new-information-unsealed-about-fbi-raid-of-fired-chinese-iu-professor/86549294007/#:~:text=Newly%20unsealed%20documents%20reveal%20the%20FBI%20is,same%20time%20the%20FBI%20searched%20their%20homes.
@TenShino this can resolve as yes based on the unsealed documents.
@MRME I still don't think we know
The U.S. Government fought to keep the documents sealed, arguing that releasing them could impede the investigation and hurt the reputations of those involved. However, Riana Pfefferkorn, an attorney and policy fellow at Stanford University, prevailed in the Indiana Southern District Court on Oct. 3 to unseal the search warrant applications for his Bloomington and Carmel homes.
Federal agents were seeking records related to federal crimes of false statements, theft or bribery concerning programs receiving federal funds and wire fraud.
The search warrant application included no potential national security threats, and Pfefferkorn described the potential violations listed as "milktoast" charges.
The documents do not mention Nianli Ma, who lost her job as an IU Libraries analyst, earlier in the same week.
No charges have been filed against Wang as of Oct. 6. Neither he nor his wife are facing deportation proceedings.
@Chumchulum “Federal agents were looking for evidence of false statements, theft, bribery, and wire fraud related to federal funding.”
This market resolves YES if there's an official statement regarding why this raid took place. If a credible source (e.g. a whistleblower) reveals this information this market resolves YES.
That’s a clear statement as to why the raid took place.
@Chumchulum I bought back in but I sold from 99 because I can’t afford to lock up mana in a long debate.
I still believe the answer is clearly yes but I can’t let 1k just hang out doing nothing.