Will Jordan accept >2000 Gaza refugees under Trump's plan by June 2025?
76
1kṀ15k
resolved Jun 7
Resolved
NO

Donald Trump's plan for Gaza includes the forced deportation of its inhabitants, which he intends to find new refuge in Egypt and Jordan. Abdullah II was received on Tuesday in the Oval Office by Donald Trump. In this reunion, Jordan’s king promised that his country will take in 2000 sick Gazan minors in the near future, but after leaving the White House he rejected the displacement of Palestinians in a tweet.

This market resolves YES if Jordan formally accepts and receives more than 2000 refugees from Gaza as part of Trump's proposed resettlement plan by June 1st, 2025, according to official government statements and UNHCR data.

I will not bet on this market.

  • Update 2025-06-07 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator has announced they are resolving this market to NO. See their comment for the full reasoning.

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I can't find an exact number, but there's no official Jordan statement, UNHCR data does not say this has happened and out of the 2000 sick minors they were going to take in only 39 have arrived. Resolving NO.

@TenShino resolve

What if they accept them as part of Egypt's plan or another Trump endorsed plan?

@Shai Going by the title and the original description, I think it should resolve YES only if they accept them as part of Trump's original plan for Gaza. That said, attributing resettlement numbers to a specific plan seems really challenging and more subjective on my part (which should be fine since I'm not betting on this market) than just resolving YES as soon as Jordan takes over 2000 refugees. I'm leaning towards resolving as per the title, but I'm willing to listen to traders opinions.

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