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MANIFOLD
Ramayana movie will have protests in India?
3
Ṁ100Ṁ21
Dec 31
59%
chance

Resolution criteria

This market resolves to YES if there is credible media reporting of at least one organized, in-person public protest against the movie Ramayana (directed by Nitesh Tiwari / starring Ranbir Kapoor) taking place within India between its promotional rollout and within 30 days following its theatrical release. Otherwise, this market resolves to NO.

To qualify for a YES resolution:

  • The protest must involve an organized gathering of people physically assembling in public (e.g., outside theaters, production offices, or in public squares) demonstrating against the film, burning effigies or posters, or attempting to block screenings.

  • Purely online campaigns, social media hashtags, boycotts without physically documented street demonstrations, or legal filings/letters alone do not satisfy the criteria.

  • Credible reporting must come from recognized major Indian or international news outlets (such as The Indian Express, Hindustan Times, The Hindu, NDTV, or The Times of India).

Note: Market creators may adjust the specific end date or evaluation window prior to resolution.

Background

Directed by Nitesh Tiwari and produced by Namit Malhotra, Ramayana: Part 1 (also titled Ramayana: Rise of a Legend) stars Ranbir Kapoor as Lord Ram, Sai Pallavi as Sita, and Yash as Ravana. Previous Bollywood adaptations of religious epics—most notably Om Raut's Adipurush (2023)—faced significant public backlash, street demonstrations, and calls for bans over dialogue, costume design, and perceived irreverence toward Hindu deities.

Ahead of Ramayana's release, religious and cultural organizations like the Shri Ramlila Mahasangh issued public warnings to the filmmakers, demanding pre-release screenings to inspect content and cautioning that demonstrations outside cinema halls would follow if depictions were deemed to hurt religious sentiments.

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