Resolution criteria

This market will resolve to YES if either Arsenal F.C. or Real Madrid officially announces that Vinicius Junior has signed a contract to join Arsenal via a permanent transfer on or before August 20, 2026, at 11:59 PM GMT.

This market will resolve to NO if no such official transfer is finalized and announced by this deadline (including if he remains at Real Madrid, signs a contract extension with Real Madrid, or transfers to another club).

• Primary Sources: Resolution will be determined by official club statements published on arsenal.com or realmadrid.com.

• Exclusions: Reports from tier-one journalists (e.g., David Ornstein, Fabrizio Romano), verbal agreements, agreements in principle, or completed medicals will not be sufficient to resolve the market to YES. Only official announcements of a finalized transfer by the clubs themselves will be Considered.