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MANIFOLD
Will Apple release another iOS beta before August?
6
Ṁ100Ṁ46
Jul 31
53%
chance

Resolution criteria

This market will resolve to YES if Apple officially releases at least one new iOS beta version (for developer or public testing, across any iOS version, such as iOS 27 or iOS 26) between July 21, 2026, and July 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM Pacific Daylight Time (PDT). Otherwise, this market will resolve to NO.

  • Eligible Releases: Any official iOS update labeled as a "beta" (e.g., Developer Beta, Public Beta, Beta RC) listed on Apple's developer or beta portals. Re-releases of existing betas with a new build number will count. iPadOS-only releases do not count unless accompanied by a corresponding iOS release.

  • Primary Source: The market will resolve based on the official publication dates listed on the Apple Developer Releases page. If that site is unavailable, reliable secondary tracking sites like MacRumors or Beta Profiles may be used.

Background

Apple typically follows a weekly or bi-weekly cadence for iOS developer and public betas during the summer months leading up to the major fall release. As of mid-July 2026, Apple has released iOS 27.0 Beta 3 (as well as its first Public Beta) and iOS 26.6 Beta 5. This market tracks whether the next iteration of any iOS beta software will be pushed to testers before the end of July 2026.

This description was generated by AI. Review and verify everything here yourself. You can edit, replace, or delete any part of this description, including the resolution criteria. You do not need to trust the AI output.

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