Being allowed to compete but not under the Russian flag would be NO
A few athletes competing for other countries teams while the majority of Russian athletes are banned would be YES
1,000
3.00This can be resolved as NO because MOC has made a decision to allow individual athletes to compete:
@42irrationalist I will hold off resolving until opening ceremonies because who knows if the Russians will do something so bad as to cause IOC to revisit. Probably much less than 5 percent chance, but not zero
@AlQuinn Do you understand the criteria to be the same? I’ve read both several times to be sure. I think so but I’m not certain. Would both markets resolve NO if Russian athletes were allowed to compete under a different flag (white, ROC, different nation)?
@NicoDelon it really seems they are approximately the same to me, and I've reread both a few times. But warning! I am dyslexic (and kind of dumb) though! They might resolve a bit differently if there are a very small number of non-Russia flag Russians competing, but I think actually hitting that grey-zone is very unlikely.
@NicoDelon though I guess you could argue the other one is about the IOC decision, and this one is barred for any reason, since that part is not specified. Maybe IOC decides it's okay but then something else happens and they are barred through some other mechanism. But again, seems like edge case stuff
@NicoDelon and I haven't checked in on this in a bit, but ASOIF is annoyed at Russia for this: https://www.insidethegames.biz/articles/1137574/asoif-president-wary-friendship-games
@AlQuinn you are correct that this one is generic and would resolve NO regardless of reason banned. The only wiggle room is that a few individual athletes sneaking through the ban via loopholes would not invalidate the YES