Is Ukraine's offensive in the Kursk region a diversion?

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resolved Jan 1

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Resolves yes if Ukraine launches a significant attack somewhere else or it comes to light that Ukraine planned a new offensive after the Kursk offensive in 2024 but did not launch it for some reason. Otherwise, this question Resolves no.

Because this question is somewhat subjective I will not make any bets on it.

This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.

#🇺🇦🇷🇺 Ukraine-Russia war

#🇷🇺 Russia

#Ukraine

#Ukraine Counteroffensive

#How It Ends

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sold Ṁ132 YES

If it was a diversion, it's working on me

What if this attack's purpose was to divert Russian troops from its main attack in the Donbas to be used as a defense or counter attack force in the Kursk region?

bought Ṁ100 YES from 27% to 33%

@RatUziCat that's definitely possible but a diversion attack is an attack calculated to draw enemy defense away from the point of the principal attack.

So if Ukraine doesn't launch an attack somewhere else I don't think I can call it a diversion.

bought Ṁ100 NO

Can you put some bounds on "significant attack" and "after"?

Something that gets reported in the news as a new attack or offensive by Ukraine in 2024. The attack cannot be a raid or probing strike. It must also not be joined with the kursk offensive.

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