Basic
54
30k
Nov 6
2%
chance

False Flag (wiki link for definition)

Needs to be reported in investigation by major news source(s); won't resolve based on twitter pundits. I'll give time for conflicting sources and investigations to come out.

What might matter:

  • coordination with Trump or his team

  • shooter's intent (to stop Trump vs. to rally Trump supporters)

What might not matter:

  • real gun

  • whether Trump was hit

  • shooter's death

Because of the possibility of a contentious resolution, I won't trade. It might also become necessary for me to put together a panel of neutral judges and/or resolve to percent. The intent remains to prefer a YES or NO resolution with as much clarity and transparency as possible.

This has a close date of Nov 5th (election day). It might be relevant to keep it open longer but I currently believe that the truth of the matter will be moot by the time the election happens. Open for discussion.

Get Ṁ1,000 play money
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bought Ṁ50 YES

Although there were hundreds of cameras there was no visibillity of anything hitting him. We only see blood after he has been down for a while so could be staged. Sinister - but in the reange of possibility.

Yes you are absolutely right, also the guy that died stabbed himself in the chest when no one was looking.

I did not say there was no actual shooting. I said likely nothing hit the president.

there is a photograph of a bullet flying past his head after the first one ripped off skin and cartilage from his ear. before the second shot he begins to grab his bloody ear and ducks for cover. does not seemed staged. it seems like real danger. Trump was actual milliseconds, or 5mph less wind, away from brains all over the crowd right behind him.

might be helpful to link to those pictures

The videos and your three photos on the top seem to prove otherwise. If it would be a real shot his hand would not be so clean after touching the wound.

@HenriLaupmaa

zoom in tho, its not clean

Ok. I'll take a look.

Shortly why I am skeptical: if somebody really would have wanted to take him out - they would have sent somebody who can shoot, not a kid who is known to be a bad shooter ... and secret service just lets him climb to the rooftop. Yeah.

The statements in these vids are peoples feelings without a sliver of any evidence to support the secret service conspiring against Trump. They even think it was probably negligence themselves.

Will thought it might not have been negligence because "it was a little fishy" that when you're protecting the president in open spaces "you want to, knock it down, secure it as much as possible" "the secret service should have had all the high places covered" then the guy interviewing him asks is it possible, since it was so far away, that it was out of the secret service's responsibility at that moment. Will says "not really- i think again i find it as really difficult for it to be a defensible position by the secret service."

the truth is, that around the time of the shooting, the building the shooter was on was far enough away from the president that it fell into the responsibly of the local law enforcement who were there working in tandem with the secret service. i also saw somewhere that they might not have even been on the same emergency radio line so not really sure how "in tandem" it could've been. there lies the incompetence.

Kim thinks it could've been the "deep state", with this as her evidence/reasoning: "maybe it isn't incompetence. Considering they've tried to take him out every other possible way that they can. They've done everything they can to try to eliminate Donald Trump, from two impeachments, to Legal you know lawsuits removing him from the ballot. They've done everything this was really the last the last possibility of ensuring the man doesn't take over the White House, and that's to off him, So is it possible that there is some deep conspiracy deep state conspiracy? Yeah it is, considering all of the evidence"

evidence? idk how she could possibly call everything she just said evidence for this "deep state conspiracy."

imo, they all think it was not planned by anyone but the kid and they just want more views.
@HenriLaupmaa

I'm sure this is stoking the fire a bit, but is there any analysis of the shooter's later shots? did he reposition to be more or less accurate?

haven’t seen anything about the later shots, im guessing they missed, but could be the case that one of them killed Corey Comperatore, as there were reports he was actively protecting his family from gunfire when he was shot in the head, while not many people reacted at all until after the second shot.

if I find more I’ll let you know here 🫡

Have you seen how many people from secret service + other agencies are around presidents / former presidents. I have seen in Obama's case. This can in no way happen without them letting it happen.

Btw. why are there no photos or video from the other side of the former president. There were lots of people with phones out sitting on the other side of him / but so far I have seen zero footage.

'm sure this is stoking the fire a bit, but is there any analysis of the shooter's later shots? did he reposition to be more or less accurate?

According to the official story he did one targeted shot and then sprayed bullets randomly all over the place based on who was hit.

That a kid who cannot shoot properly goes with a ladder and a rifle into the highly protected compound without being caught and takes a clear shot as an official story is clearly preposterous ...

And that secret service let's a guy they are protecting take a photo op a minute after being shot without knowing if there is a second shooter etc is highly unlikely.

I understand there in the US it is hard to believe that these kind of things are staged. But from farther away the picture is clearer.

What if the shot was blank, but Trump just scratched his own ear with a hidden blade?

Possibly. Are there any photos/videos from people who are on his side where he supposedly get shot? I have seen zero so far.

I mean during the moments of "being shot"

bought Ṁ2,000 NO
  • no one can shoot accurately enough at that range to just graze the ear without a very large risk of killing him

  • why rock the boat when he's already the 72% favorite according to nate silver

  • hard to recruit the world's greatest sniper to get his head blown off by the secret service

There was no visibility of him getting shot - he was facing away from the camera and no other cameras (although there were hundreds of them) caught it. Possibly staged.

bought Ṁ1 NO
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