M$20 M$50 to each super cool/ funny/ challenging question that I haven't seen before and would like to bet on. Subsidize your own question creation!
Nitpicks:
can be open, closed, or resolved, any market type
must be a question you made
I'll only reward once per submitter
I'll only reward answers with a single question in them
Stuff I've seen before won't get a bounty, but it's probably still worth sharing for others!
I highly recommend also exploring what other people post and sharing the love with bets on stuff you like (unless ofc the question is closed, but then find something else by that author!).
See also the version about others' questions:
https://manifold.markets/Kraalnaxx/will-there-have-been-a-new-presiden?r=S3JhYWxuYXh4 I like this once since imo it's harder than it looks. The US is pretty accepting of Catholics at least, but will the circumstances be just right in the next 6 elections?
It's a very silly one:
https://manifold.markets/JubileeYoung/will-bci-enable-humanmonke-communic
A friend of mine and I regularly talk about third party presence in the primarily two-party system we currently have. The minimum 2% threshold has made this market about 50/50 for the upcoming 2024 election.
https://manifold.markets/LBeesley/will-a-third-party-candidate-receiv?r=TEJlZXNsZXk
I'm pretty happy with this question of mine; I think it asks an important and concrete question about Lantern. I don't think it's gotten enough volume to be a very reliable forecast, but maybe posting it here will help with that!
https://manifold.markets/Alfie/will-usain-bolts-100m-record-be-bro?r=QWxmaWU
The whole story around the enhanced games is pretty weird and interesting.
A large part of their marketing is that a sprinter faster than Usain Bolt will compete and their replies are always filled with a bunch of very strong opinions so I thought it would make a good question.
Also cool because the their official twitter ended up sharing the market.
Not my question but this is one of the more detailed and intriguing questions I've seen over here.
https://manifold.markets/dreev/is-the-probability-of-dying-in-the?r=dmduc2g
I've refreshed the bounty, and I'm now upping the reward to 50 mana if your question qualifies!
All previous submitters are also welcome to submit again!
Thought it was funny because of how much activity it got despite the long-in-the-future resolution.