Skip to main content
MANIFOLD
Change My Mind: People with Cameras on Their Houses are Either Creeps or Cowards
4
á¹€1ká¹€71
Dec 3
75%
chance

When I was a kid playing in the neighborhood, one neighbor had a camera out front recording all of us. That neighbor caused a lot of problems and was harassed by us and our parents for their weird behavior. Creep (Pedo).

But nowadays having a camera on your door is widespread. Everybody is just feeding data to the shady companies in the name of 'home security'. Cowards.

Meanwhile society is getting more and more isolated and mistrustful. Gee, what a surprise.


Make a case for why someone would have a camera pointing out that isn't for leering or for feeding their own fears and paranoia. If you're convincing enough to change my mind about this generalization, I will resolve that this is 'false'.

Anecdotal edge cases like "my cousin uses it to record his skateboarding tricks" aren't likely to be sufficient. You need to convince me that it's a frequent-ish case for a normal person and it would be their sole or primary reason for having said camera.


Resolution:

  • I am convinced: NO, the statement is false

  • I am not convinced by market end: YES, the statement is true

I think this will be hard to change my mind on, I can be pretty stubborn and my definitions of creep and coward may be hostile and broad. So I've started the market at 80%, in the statement's favor. I may extend close if a lot of engagement comes in at the 11th hour.

The creator has blocked themselves from betting in this market.
Get
á¹€1,000
to start trading!
Sort by:

Does any security use case constitute "feeding their own fears and paranoia" or is there a level of risk in an area where you would deem this not paranoia and instead an appropriate response to risk?

Also does this only refer to door cameras facing out towards other houses or does it refer to any on property camera pointed away from the house?

@Zeolite general cameras watching over the grounds pointing into public; doesn't have to be a doorbell cam, but e.g. cameras that are exclusively for backyard bird feeders are a very different thing since they aren't invading the public space.

I'd need to be convinced that any security usecase, no matter how reasonable, isn't bald-faced cowardice. I'm sure it's doable, but my starting position is: if someone thinks they need a camera to protect against burglars and kidnappers, spy on who is walking around the neighborhood, catch package thieves, get warning about cops and mormons and mothers-in-law, etc., then they're making a decision based on fear.