The "Championship Belt" concept comes from boxing/wresting and is the idea that every season, the previous years champion (here the Super Bowl) starts with the belt, and each time they lose they pass the belt to the winning team who becomes the new sole owner.
The concept is explained here:
https://grantland.com/the-triangle/introducing-the-nba-regular-season-championship-belt/
So far this season, the Chiefs have lost this "belt" to the Lions in Week 1 (no, the preseason did not count), who then lost the "belt" to the Seahawks in Week 2. The Seahawks successfully defended their belt against the Panthers Week 3, and thus the Seahawks start this market "holding the belt" (but will pass it on after their first loss, if they lose).
The Pittsburgh Steelers currently hold the championship belt.
Week 0: Chiefs
Week 1: Lions beat Chiefs
Week 2: Seahawks beat Lions
Week 3: Seahawks beat Panthers
Week 4: Seahawks beat Giants
Week 5: Seahawks Bye
Week 6: Seahawks at Bengals
Week 7: Bengals Bye
Week 8: Bengals at 49ers
Week 9: Bills at Bengals
Week 10: Texans at Bengals
Week 11: Cardinals at Texans
Week 12: Jaguars at Texans
Week 13: Bengals at Jaguars
Week 14: Colts at Bengals
Week 15: Vikings at Bengals
Week 16: Bengals at Steelers
This market closes at the conclusion of the regular season, resolving simply with the team who holds the belt after Week 18. I'll update each week with the current owner of the belt. As a fun edge case, a tie would resolve in a division into two different belts (and could resolve for multiple teams).
Note that additional answers will not be added, so all teams not listed are contained in "Other".
Updated Market (that you can add answers to) is here:
1,000
3.00
Bengals hold onto the Belt. With 5 (or 6 not sure if we are considering the bye) Weeks holding the belt they have clinched the "holding the belt for the longest time award" (Seahawks could get it back for 2 more weeks, but I think only via the Steelers, which requires the Bengals hold onto the belt for another week). Unfortunately that award doesn't mean anything (maybe next year!), as Week 18 is all that matters!
They stay home to face the Vikings at 1pm EST today!
Texans retain the belt with their Week 11 win over the Cardinals. Up next they will look to defend it at home against the Jaguars.
Recreated the Market so that answers can be added by others. This market will still resolve/be tradeable/description updated, I just will not be adding anymore answers (so all other teams are contained in "Other"):
https://manifold.markets/JoshuaWilkes/will-the-team-holding-the-nfl-champ?r=Sm9zaHVhV2lsa2Vz
@JoshuaWilkes @eppsilon are others not able to add answers on this market? or you just want more answers added subsidized 🤣 (fair given the odds at this point are pretty wide open)
@StopPunting You have selected a setting that only allows the creator to add new answers. I think a lot of people have been caught out by this since it was introduced
@JoshuaWilkes dang, should have paid more attention, I see it now when I make new questions. wish there was a way to change it
@JoshuaWilkes Is there a way to see if I selected that option after market creation? There are some other markets I made that I want to check if so. Also feel free to remake this market so options can be added (I wouldn't resolve this as it wouldn't be fair to current traders) as putting every team/a bunch of options myself would end up being expensive and I probably don't want to commit to doing that
@JoshuaWilkes Yeah definitely, just Bengals/Other? I don't bet on my own markets so that works. I think my worry with that was nobody would want to add their own Other this early in the season with how little liquidity would be there
@JoshuaWilkes sounds good, I'll have it up now. yeah, it wouldn't be fair to this market's traders to resolve N/A, but might mark it as "OLD" in the title