Which states will vote for the same party in the 2024 United States Presidential Election?
➕
Plus
33
Ṁ9309
resolved Nov 13
Resolved
YES
Michigan and Wisconsin
Resolved
YES
Georgia and Pennsylvania
Resolved
YES
New Hampshire and Virginia
Resolved
YES
Florida and Texas
Resolved
YES
Georgia and Arizona
Resolved
YES
Michigan and Pennsylvania
Resolved
YES
Nevada and North Carolina
Resolved
YES
Florida and Ohio
Resolved
NO
North Carolina and Virginia
Resolved
NO
New Hampshire and Pennsylvania

If both of a pair of states have a plurality of their votes won by the same presidential candidate, they will resolve as "YES", if they are won by different candidates, the entry will resolve as "NO". Ideally this will be interesting to see state collinearity (especially when compared to the base probability).

Add answers! Right now I am limiting the pool of states you can use, to anything between 5%-95% Democratic or Republican in the Manifold political forecast (which will be periodically updated):

  • Virginia

  • Maine

  • Minnesota

  • New Hampshire

  • Pennsylvania

  • Wisconsin

  • Michigan

  • Arizona

  • Georgia

  • Nevada

  • North Carolina

  • Ohio

  • Florida

  • Texas

  • Alaska

  • Iowa

Similar State Correlated Error Market:

#🇺🇸 US Politics
#🇺🇸 2024 US Presidential Election
#Elections
#2024 US Election
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accidently resolved but should probably end up being correct

@StopPunting It’s been called that he won WI, MI, and PA - so it’d make sense to resolve the MI + WI as yes

bought Ṁ50 NO

@StopPunting This one resolves NO.

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