![](/_next/image?url=https%3A%2F%2Fstorage.googleapis.com%2Fmantic-markets.appspot.com%2Fcontract-images%2Fstochasticcockatoo%252Faad562a61504.jpg&w=3840&q=75)
Will a regular of Arcadia House (Isaak Freeman's) win the Thiel Fellowship in 2024, 2025, or 2026?
Mini
5
Ṁ1492026
75%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Get Ṁ600 play money
Related questions
Related questions
Will a regular of c-Haus in Cambridge, MA (Lucas Chu's) win the Thiel Fellowship in 2024, 2025, or 2026?
25% chance
Will anyone from the Summer Program for Applied Rationality (SPARC) program win a Thiel Fellowship by 2026?
48% chance
Will an Atlas Fellow become a Thiel Fellow by 2027?
70% chance
Will Arnav Shah win EITHER an Emergent Ventures or Thiel Fellowship by 2028?
41% chance
Will Andrew Gao become a Thiel fellow?
34% chance
Will any past/current student from the University of Washington Robinson Center (University of Washington early entrance program & UW Academy for Young Scholars) win a Thiel Fellowship OR an Emergent Ventures grant by the end of 2027?
32% chance
Will a thiel fellow win a nobel prize by 2055
37% chance
Will someone from FutureHouseSF win a Nobel prize by EOY 2037?
27% chance
Will Alia Abbas become a Thiel Fellow?
23% chance
Will Willy Chertman win an Emergent Ventures fellowship before 2027?
48% chance