This market will resolve to YES if Emmett Shear was CEO of OpenAI on Thursday, November 23, 2023 at midnight EST. It is being held open until stronger evidence can be obtained of what his status was.

Otherwise, it will resolve to NO.

RESOLUTION: This is why Manifold is better than Polymarket.

Rather than resolve the market immediately based on weak evidence, I was able to obtain a quote from Emmett Shear. Although I was told not to post the conversation itself, Shear himself implied in one message that he wasn't even sure what it meant to be the CEO of OpenAI. He then stated exactly:

• "There's no obvious true answer to that question, you could argue anything from zero to thirteen days I think."

Shear himself acknowledges that the exact tasks he was supposed to perform were not defined, and even he doesn't know the exact dates of his tenure as CEO. Therefore, the resolution is N/A, and I believe that the competing USD markets on this topic were incorrectly resolved.

I know that all the rolled back trades will be disappointing to some, but the evidence is clear and convincing that OpenAI did not record actual data to ever answer this question. The company was in so much turmoil that even if an "official" statement is obtained from them in the future, it will be a retroactive opinion by whoever is working for OpenAI now, rather than a review of official records that were (never) created by the people involved at the time.

Thanks to the Manifold user who assisted in the research for this topic, and have a great day!