Will credible, corroborated GPT4o model details leak before 2025?
Basic
6
Ṁ155Dec 31
56%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Corroborated = Leak must be 2 or more sources.
Credible = Source must be credible within the real of ML/AI in the same way that the below referenced leakers are.
Details = Equal or greater detail to GPT4 leak (model architecture, size, etc) ala Geohotz, SemiAnalysis, and others.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Related questions
Related questions
Will GPT-5 be released before 2025?
6% chance
Will an open source model beat GPT-4 in 2024?
39% chance
Who will release a GPT-4o comparable model in 2024?
Will GPT-5 be released before Apr 2025?
32% chance
Will there be a GPT-4.5 model before GPT-5 is released?
13% chance
Will we have an open-source model better than GPT-4-Turbo before 2025?
91% chance
Will we have an open-source model that is equivalent GPT-4 by end of 2025?
82% chance
Will a model as great as GPT-5 be available to the public in 2025?
79% chance
When will the weights of GPT-4 be publicly available (leaked or open sourced)?
Will GPT-5 be announced in 2024?
5% chance