Will Adobe acquire Figma this year?

#Technology #Economics #M&A and Antitrust

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resolved Jan 6

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Background: Adobe shares plunge on deal to acquire design platform Figma for $20 billion. There is still a risk that the deal could fall through due to antirust or other issues.

Resolves YES if Figma is successfully acquired by Adobe before the end of the year. If the acquisition is agreed upon but not actually finalized before the end of the year, this resolves NO.

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predicted NO

If the acquisition is agreed upon but not actually finalized before the end of the year

I'm confused by this language. The acquisition is agreed. Adobe filed documentation with the SEC detailing the merger agreement.

It may not close, ie, Adobe may not wire the money, this year or next... but the terms are fixed.

predicted NO

@KevinBurke "Finalized" here meant the acquisition closing

Related market

A market more controversial than this one.

bought Ṁ50 of NO

Literally 0% 🤔

“The transaction is expected to close in 2023, subject to the receipt of required regulatory clearances and approvals and the satisfaction of other closing conditions, including the approval of Figma’s stockholders.”