This market predicts the timeframe in which the Dutch Cabinet Schoof will end its tenure, either through scheduled elections, dissolution, or replacement.

Resolution criteria: Market resolves based on the official date when the cabinet ceases to be in power.

References:

• https://nltimes.nl/2024/09/13/support-dutch-coalition-holds-40-nearly-70-expect-cabinet-collapse

• https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2023%E2%80%932024_Dutch_cabinet_formation

• Update 2025-06-15 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The market will resolve based on the date of dismissal of all remaining ministers of the current cabinet, as published in the Staatscourant (official gazette).

  • The cabinet becoming "demissionair" (caretaker) does not count as a resolution.

  • If dismissal and appointment of new ministers happen on separate days, the day of dismissal will be used.

  • A new election resulting in another cabinet, even if still led by Prime Minister Schoof, will count as the end of the current cabinet.

• Update 2025-06-15 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - The market will resolve based on the date of dismissal of all remaining ministers of the current cabinet, as published in the Staatscourant (official gazette).

  • The cabinet becoming "demissionair" (caretaker) does not count as a resolution.

  • A new election resulting in another cabinet, even if still led by Prime Minister Schoof, will count as the end of the current cabinet.

  • If dismissal and appointment of new ministers happen on separate days, the day of dismissal will be used.

• Update 2025-06-18 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The departure of a subset of ministers does not constitute a dissolution of the cabinet.