Will any NATO country go to war by 2025?
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6
Ṁ189Jan 1
9%
chance
1D
1W
1M
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Resolves YES if any NATO member state becomes directly involved (through troop deployment and resource engagement) in any war before midnight 12/31/2024. A war is defined as a military conflict in which there are over 1,000 total casualties within a year period. Resolves NO otherwise.
NATO membership status at time of first engagement is what is relevant. Resolves N/A if NATO ceases to exist.
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