Will any NATO country go to war by 2025?
Basic
6
Ṁ189
Jan 1
9%
chance

Resolves YES if any NATO member state becomes directly involved (through troop deployment and resource engagement) in any war before midnight 12/31/2024. A war is defined as a military conflict in which there are over 1,000 total casualties within a year period. Resolves NO otherwise.

NATO membership status at time of first engagement is what is relevant. Resolves N/A if NATO ceases to exist.

Get
Ṁ1,000
and
S3.00
© Manifold Markets, Inc.Terms + Mana-only TermsPrivacyRules