MANIFOLD
Gov. shutdown rhetoric prop bets:
8
Ṁ125Ṁ195
Feb 23
85%
Trump criticizes at least one Republican senator directly
43%
Fetterman breaks ranks and blames Dems for shutdown
34%
John Thune promises to discuss DHS funding only after Dems approve it and reopen
24%
Chuck Schumer gives in on funding bill and says internal investigations/accountability are more important wins
9%
Schumer convinces Dems to avoid shutdown

Each resolve based on whether they are said publically or verifiably during a shutdown or on the day of a vote for shutdown. (flexible on wording and context as long as the sentiment is very similar)

Users are encouraged to add answers but they should be similarly specific and resolvable.

  • Update 2026-01-26 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator will be monitoring shutdown news but requests that users provide evidence in comments as they do not have X (Twitter) access and are not continuously monitoring senate discourse.

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I will be following shutdown news but would appreciate crowdsourced evidence in comments as I don't have X and am not religiously monitoring senate discourse

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