MANIFOLD
Gov. shutdown rhetoric prop bets:
9
Ṁ125Ṁ260
resolved Feb 25
Resolved
YES
John Thune promises to discuss DHS funding only after Dems approve it and reopen
Resolved
NO
Fetterman breaks ranks and blames Dems for shutdown
Resolved
NO
Trump criticizes at least one Republican senator directly
Resolved
NO
Chuck Schumer gives in on (DHS) funding bill and says internal investigations/accountability are more important wins (edit)
Resolved
NO
Schumer convinces Dems to avoid shutdown

Each resolve based on whether they are said publically or verifiably during a shutdown or on the day of a vote for shutdown. (flexible on wording and context as long as the sentiment is very similar)

Users are encouraged to add answers but they should be similarly specific and resolvable.

  • Update 2026-01-26 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator will be monitoring shutdown news but requests that users provide evidence in comments as they do not have X (Twitter) access and are not continuously monitoring senate discourse.

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bought Ṁ15 YES

i'm lightly YES on 'John Thune...' based on comments in his press comment here

lightly NO on my other entries:

I have not seen evidence for Trump criticizing his party members.

Fetterman broke ranks but I have not seen comments blaming or even criticizing the democrat positions.

bought Ṁ10 NO

I will be following shutdown news but would appreciate crowdsourced evidence in comments as I don't have X and am not religiously monitoring senate discourse

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