Will the US Fed announce increase in interest rates on Sep 20?
SorenGoyal avatar
Soren Goyal
58
resolved Sep 20
Resolved
NO

The board of US Federal Reserve will meet on Sep 19-20 to discuss the monetary policy. In the last meeting the rates were hiked by 25 bps (Link to News report).

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chrisjbillington avatar
Chris Billingtonbought αΉ€0 of NO

August inflation came in slightly hot, 3.7% compared to 3.6% expected, and up from 3.2% in July.

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Sir Cryptomindbought αΉ€50 of YES
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Daniel Tilkinbought αΉ€100 of NO

Currently 15.5% according to https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/interest-rates/cme-fedwatch-tool.html

CME FedWatch Tool - CME Group
Count down to the next Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) rate hike with the CME FedWatch Tool, based on the Fed Funds target rate. View the tool.
1 reply
AdhiR avatar
Adhi R.

@DanielTilkin the kalshi markets are actually a better comparison, because Kalshi is structured like a binary option just the same way manifold is, and the CME fedwatch tool is actually an implied probability that uses a methodology that is suspect at times.

https://kalshi.com/markets/fed/fed-interest-rates#fed-23sep