Will the US Fed announce increase in interest rates on Sep 20?
resolved Sep 20

The board of US Federal Reserve will meet on Sep 19-20 to discuss the monetary policy. In the last meeting the rates were hiked by 25 bps (Link to News report).

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chrisjbillington avatar
Chris Billingtonbought Ṁ0 of NO

August inflation came in slightly hot, 3.7% compared to 3.6% expected, and up from 3.2% in July.

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Sir Cryptomindbought Ṁ50 of YES
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AdhiR avatar
Adhi R.

@DanielTilkin the kalshi markets are actually a better comparison, because Kalshi is structured like a binary option just the same way manifold is, and the CME fedwatch tool is actually an implied probability that uses a methodology that is suspect at times.