Will the room-temperature superconductor market get more than 7,000 unique traders?
78
734
1.1k
2025
33%
chance
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Only about 15 new traders every week and we'll get there.

predicts NO

@Soren can you confirm that this is by market close?

predicts NO
predicts NO

@Soren Why did you extend it by a year then—after I asked the question? People had been betting with a 2023 EOY close date in mind. This should resolve NO.

@NicoDelon I guess Soren meant by close of the linked market

predicts NO

@MartinRandall Ah that makes more sense though that was ambiguous.

predicts NO

@NicoDelon What else could have “by market close” meant?

@Soren the time this market you created was set to close

sold Ṁ458 of NO

@jskf Yes. That’s normally the question that people ask. Most of the other derivative markets were like that.

predicts NO

@jskf @NicoDelon Oh I see, I apologize. If anybody feels cheated I can buy their no shares as if this resolved to “no”

predicts NO

@Soren I’m okay and it’s not a big deal. But the fact that the market was so low suggests I wasn’t alone in thinking the relevant cutoff was EOY 2023. Our mistake for making that assumption though.

bought Ṁ5 of YES

Fellow Russian Bots. You know what you need to do!