Will the popular Live on KEXP video of the Quebec band Angine de Poitrine get more views than the current count of the inhabitants in the Tokyo metro area (41 million according to Wikipedia) within a year? It currently has more than 18 million views.
Angine de Poitrine - Full Performance (Live on KEXP)
Resolution criteria
This market resolves to YES if the YouTube video "Angine de Poitrine - Full Performance (Live on KEXP)" surpasses 41,000,000 views on or before August 3, 2027 (one year from the market's creation).
If the video does not reach 41,000,000 views by 11:59 PM UTC on August 3, 2027, this market resolves to NO.
Edge Cases & Details:
Verification: The view count shown on the official YouTube desktop/mobile interface for the specified URL will be the primary source of truth.
Video Removal/Inaccessibility: If the video is deleted, made private, or otherwise taken down before the resolution date, the last publicly archived view count (e.g., via Wayback Machine) will be used. If there is no documented proof that it surpassed 41,000,000 views prior to removal, the market will resolve to NO.
Re-uploads: Views from re-uploads, clips, or different URLs will not count. Only views on the official KEXP upload URL (
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0Ssi-9wS1so) are eligible.
Background
Angine de Poitrine is a Québécois experimental rock duo known for their masked, polka-dot-clad aesthetic, hand-gesture communication, and frantic microtonal math rock. Their live set on KEXP was recorded at the Trans Musicales festival in late 2025 and released in February 2026. Propelled by social media algorithms and word-of-mouth curiosity, the video became an overnight viral sensation, accumulating over 18 million views in a few months. The Tokyo metropolitan area is one of the most populous metropolitan area in the world, with its broader metropolitan population cited on Wikipedia at approximately 41 million.
1,000