Will Stable Diffusion 3 accurately generate ‘blue grass, green sky’ in 9 out of 10 images before July 2024?
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Jul 1
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This market will resolve as 'Yes' if, before 2025, either I or, in the case of my inactivity, a trustworthiness individual, confirms that Stable Diffusion 3 accurately generates 'blue grass, green sky' images in 9 out of 10 attempts.

Fine-Print Details

  • The evaluation standard is based on a clear, casual observation of predominantly blue grass and green sky, with minor color imperfections allowed (less than 5%).

  • Please check my previous markets before betting on this market.



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Just got this image out of it for the prompt: "An alien world with blue grass in a field. The sky is a deep green, with blots of greener clouds."

Variations of the prompt also work.

@Soli in the YES market you didn't pass the prompt exactly. What sort of prompt engineering is allowed?

"blue grass, green sky" is continuing to give very mixed results, like this:

bought Ṁ30 NO

In my testing it's not even hitting half success rate.

They could update it before the end of July, the results I'm getting from the API are pretty weak so far though.

bought Ṁ50 YES

Betting on almost no knowledge save for the cover image here lol

@jBosc I just found out this wasn't automatically generated (i.e. by whatever model Manifold uses), but regardless, if DALLE-3 passed the test in December surely Stable Diffusion 3 would pass it now.

@jBosc it was generated by Dall-E 3 which

i believe is the same model Manifold uses

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