Will Sam Altman and Greg Bockmam start a new company together before 2025?
60
398
1K
Dec 31
22%
chance

Resolution Criteria

  • The market resolves to “Yes” if, by December 31, 2024, Sam Altman and Greg Bockman have publicly announced the founding of a new company where they are both official co-founders or equivalent founding members.

  • It resolves to “No” if there is no such announcement by this date.

  • The announcement must be verifiable through credible media outlets, press releases, or official statements from Sam and Greg

  • If Sam or Greg join an existing company in a founding-level role, such as through a company restructuring or a new initiative, this will not count unless it is branded and established as a new company entity.

Related: https://manifold.markets/Soli/why-was-sam-altman-fired-to-acceler?r=U29saQ

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The odds here are not right. I can’t participate so I won’t fix.

@Soli There is a chance they still start a new company even if they return. Judge by yourself 🤷🏻‍♂️

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