This market resolves based on whether Donald Trump signs an executive order on his first day in office (January 20, 2025) imposing a 25% tariff on all goods from Mexico and Canada.

Resolution Criteria: Market resolves YES if Trump signs such an executive order on January 20, 2025, and NO otherwise. This will be verified through official White House announcements and executive order documents.

References:

• https://www.dailysabah.com/business/economy/trump-pledges-new-tariffs-on-china-mexico-canada-in-day-one-agenda

• https://www.foxbusiness.com/politics/trump-says-issue-executive-order-charge-canada-mexico-25-tariff-goods-taking-office