IF in the next 30 days by market close, Manifold makes tangible improvements to the Home page such that I find myself finding it more useful for me to click the Home button this market resolves YES.
ELSE resolves NO.
This market is ultimately using my own judgement, but I will be fair. I want to see some real meaningful improvements. An example would be things that greatly improve market discoverability such that I can skip over pointless markets and find the gems.
1,000
3.00I will be resolving this market YES tonight if anyone wants to claim some free mana.
- Since the new homepage rollout today I have already found multiple markets I would not have otherwise found. Discoverability seems definitely improved.
- I am now able to hide specific groups (and have already done so) which is a huge win.
- I like that everything is not monotonous and is more pleasing to look at!
I'm trying to understand this market so I can make the bot trade better in the future. Why has the prob stayed flat at 80% (except for when my bot trades in it)? Is it "We think Sneaky is 80% likely to decide the existing improvements are good enough?", "We think the existing improvements warrant a resolution to prob at 80%" or "We think the Manifold Team has something in the works that we always expected to arrive at the last minute?"
@Botlab Oh and specifically because you made me aware of this market again, I went and looked to see what was up. I could get punished if the Manifold team doesn't accomplish what they say they will though!
@JamesGrugett Update: now you can create new markets that are "Unlisted", meaning they won't show up on the home page. Should help remove clutter!