Resolves YES if Mana-chan has 100 or more Twitter followers before close.
At the end of August resolves NO.
Mana-chan:
- More info: https://manifold.markets/manachan
- Twitter account: https://twitter.com/manachan_waifu
🏅 Top traders
| # | Name | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ322 | |
| 2 | Ṁ195 | |
| 3 | Ṁ132 | |
| 4 | Ṁ49 | |
| 5 | Ṁ44 |
After much deliberation I will resolve this YES. Reasoning follows:
- This is the most tangible and strictest reading of the resolution criteria as written.
- As @RobertCousineau added below, a similar market added explicit rules to help prohibit bots, rules that this market lacked. Going forward in the future I would adopt similar rules but it would not make sense to retroactively do so now.
- I asked other Trustworthy users as well as some non-manifold users and they seemed to agree YES made the most sense.
To add some context, @DavidChee stated
in "Will Manifolds Twitter account have 4000 Twitter followers by September 1st":
"BTW DO NOT USE BOTS TO FOLLOW THE ACCOUNT.
I will not count bots and may resolve it NO if I dont think we have 4000 real followers. I will also ban you from Manifold."
I don’t know which one of you decided to profiteer off of this market by making/buying bot follows, but know this: I’m filing a report against this clearly fake account and adding additional context that explains the situation (and links back here.) I encourage other Xitter users to do the same.
There are some concerns about the followers being fake but I believe this resolves YES @SneakySly
should resolve n/a because bots. Vo should stop using bots.
@jacksonpolack Seems like based on resolution criteria I specified this shouldn’t matter and should resolve YES.
@SneakySly As Jackson said: I’d encourage you to resolve no or n/a on this. We shouldn’t encourage people to engage in bad behavior so they can profiteer off markets.
@oh these are fake accounts. I'm betting mildly no in protest and on the chance that Sly says "the purpose of this question was not to see if someone can go on and pay for bot follows (or create a bunch of fake accounts)".