Eliezer recently tweeted the following:
> "Saying it myself, in case that somehow helps: Most graphic artists and translators should switch to saving money and figuring out which career to enter next, on maybe a 6 to 24 month time horizon. Don't be misled or consoled by flaws of current AI systems. They're improving."
How well will this tweet hold up? I will look at the state of the graphic artist industry at the 6 month and 24 month mark respectively and evaluate if that respective option can resolve YES. If at the end of 24 months, the tweet has not yet seemed to come true, the third option will resolve YES.
Examples of the kinds of things that could make this tweet hold up:
- AI Impact on Job Market: A headline showing a significant decrease (more than 25%) in job postings for graphic artists due to advancements in AI.
- Industry Response: A leading industry organization for graphic artists issue a formal statement advising members to consider alternative career paths due to AI advancements.
I will try and be reasonable and judge based on the spirit of the question. If you have ideas for improving the criteria please let me know.