Blake of New Orleans is running an unusually popular crossover meetup today. (August 11th.) Blake plans to hold up a signup form for the 1111 philosophers meetup group while at the group. How many people will sign up, then come to at least two future 1111 philosopher meetups before January 1st, 2025?
I'm planning to bet in this market, and resolve it to what the 1111 philosopher organizers tell me happened.
1,000🏅 Top traders
| # | Trader | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ28 |
Here's the data we have since becoming political:
551 signed up for our group
113 people have joined our Meetup group*
On average, 6 new members come to our weekly meetup - we've hosted 3 meetups after 8/11.
So I guess the answer is 6? The real benefit is that I now have this giant list of 551 people that I can activate. Folks seem to come to Kamala Harris focused talks instead of discussions that I brand as more general. We're also hosting a few new meetups that are not part of our regular Sunday meetup. For instance, a postcarding meetup attracted 15 folks and I am hosting a fundraiser tonight that I bet will attract a large number of folks.
*My meetup count was while the meetup group was explicitly our ACX/rat group. I've since changed it to focus exclusively on Kamala for reasons I might blog about later.
@BlakeBertuccelliBooth Resolved to 6, thank you for the data!
I'm fascinated by this. I would love to have two or three more examples like it to see if this pattern repeats, but it looks like there's very little (but nonzero) attendance boost for an ACX/rat group from advertising in mostly unrelated groups. On the other hand, you managed to get a huge number of group signups off of one meetup.
Tentatively sounds like this isn't a worthwhile strategy for a group interested in philosophy discussion, but plausibly useful for a group interested in tugging on a policy rope?