I will send you Ṁ100 if you comment or DM me evidence you’ve contacted your senator(s) about this.
Resolution Criteria
The Senate is expected to vote next week on these remaining funding measures as a group, with final passage needed before a Jan. 30 deadline to avoid a partial government shutdown. The market resolves YES if the Senate successfully blocks or significantly reduces DHS/ICE funding from the current bipartisan bill. This includes:
Successfully voting against against the entire DHS funding package to stop passage before the end of January
Successfully amending the bill to reduce DHS or ICE funding below current levels - more than $5b reduction of DHS or $1b of ICE.
Forcing a continuing resolution or shutdown rather than accepting the current funding levels
The market resolves NO if the Senate passes the DHS funding bill as negotiated or with only minor modifications that do not reduce overall DHS/ICE funding.
Resolution will be determined by official Senate voting records and final appropriations legislation, available at Congress.gov.
1,000People are also trading
To be clear, if this Polymarket resolves yes, this market will also resolve yes?
https://polymarket.com/event/will-there-be-another-us-government-shutdown-by-january-31
@PaperBoy *likely* sufficient but not necessary, yes. The one exception would be a partial shutdown that includes full funding of DHS/ICE.
The reverse is not the case - if the government is funded but DHS budget is slashed, this resolves YES.