Will Stable Diffusion 3 correctly respond to prompt 1 from the Scott Aaronson/Gary Marcus/Earnest Davis paper?
Will Stable Diffusion 3 correctly respond to prompt 1 from the Scott Aaronson/Gary Marcus/Earnest Davis paper?
15
290Ṁ420resolved Apr 17
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This paper. Prompt 1 is:
a red basketball with flowers on it, in front of blue one with a similar pattern
I'll generate 5 images. A majority must be correct. I'll only try it once.
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Image 1 (Success!)

Image 2 (failure, neither ball is obviously in front)

Image 3 (Success!)

Image 4 (Success!)

Image 5 (Failure, 2 red balls)

Will you just copy and paste the prompt text or can you do some prompt engineering? If I ask it to "read the description closely" or "...with close adherence..." it will create the pictures just fine.
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why use play money?
Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
Play money means it's much easier for anyone anywhere in the world to get started and try out forecasting without any risk. It also means there's more freedom to create and bet on any type of question.