Will Nine make landfall in the US as a tropical storm or stronger?
7
Ṁ150Ṁ8.6kresolved Aug 22
Resolved
YES1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/refresh/graphics_at4+shtml/175815.shtml?tswind120#contents
Resolves based on NOAA. If the storm never makes landfall, resolves NO.
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From NHC discussion:
Strengthening is expected, but the limited time over water and its
current broad structure suggest that rapid intensification is
unlikely. The system is expected to move inland between the 12- and
24-hour points so it is possible that the system gets a little
stronger than the forecast intensity values.https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/verification/pdfs/1990-present_OFCL_ATL_annual_int_errors.pdf
Intensity error in forecasts