Will James Medlock take on another (serious) Twitter bet by the end of the year?
Basic
10
แน€2584
resolved Jan 1
Resolved
NO

@JamesMedlock is clearly high on his recent victory against Balaji Srinivasan, and is now asking random people for bets on Twitter.

https://twitter.com/jdcmedlock/status/1665464362323042306?s=20

https://twitter.com/jdcmedlock/status/1663564000578379779?s=20

https://twitter.com/jdcmedlock/status/1658124977017614337?s=20

Will @JamesMedlock take on another bet? To qualify, it must:

  • Be for real money stakes of any amount (charitable donations count)

  • Be mutually agreed upon and confirmed by both parties

  • Be "on Twitter", in the sense that it's between Medlock and another person active on twitter.

It does NOT:

  • Need to finish or pay out, I'll resolve the market upon mutual agreement and announcement by the bettors.

NEW RULES:

This market resolves at my sole discretion on whether it was manipulated to close a certain way. Among (but not the only) criteria I will consider is:

  • Whether the person on the other side of the bet is active on Manifold

  • Whether they are a member of ๐Ÿงฆ/ ๐ŸŒ Twitter or whatever the cool kids call it now

  • The dollar amount of the bet

I will not trade on this market.

Get
แน€1,000
and
S1.00
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(briefly just bought then immediately sold on this market after realizing I said I wouldn't trade on it).

bought แน€100 NO from 17% to 11%