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MANIFOLD
Will any of OpenAI’s “Ten Advances in Math and Theoretical CS” be shown to be flawed by the end of August?
40
Ṁ1kṀ7.8k
Aug 31
4%
chance
  • YES if, by August 31, there is a consensus in credible reporting or within the academic community that at least one of the core arguments or main theorems in OpenAI's "Ten Advances" is fatally flawed or incorrect. Otherwise, resolves NO.

    • "Flawed" means a core mathematical or theoretical error is identified that invalidates the main result of the paper, and the error is either unfixable or difficult to patch.

    • Nitpicks—such as minor typos, formatting errors, minor translation gaps in the Lean formalization that do not undermine the mathematical proof's validity, or easily patchable edge cases—do not count toward a YES resolution.

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@Sketchy so it seems clear that this problem isn't "unfixable or difficult to patch"

@AhronMaline I agree from what I’ve read so far. Just sharing stuff.

@duck_master yea seems slightly more credible than the other one? I have absolutely zero ability to assess for myself, but plenty of time in the rest of the month for this to shake out

reposted

👀

Seems on review by a few folks not legit.