[แน1,000 PRIZE] ๐ Who will be the Underdog Winner of the Oscars on Manifold? ๐
[แน1,000 PRIZE] ๐ Who will be the Underdog Winner of the Oscars on Manifold? ๐
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423แน736resolved Mar 12
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๐ TET 2024: The Oscars ๐
@ManifoldPolitics has generously agreed to sponsor a แน1,000 prize for the Underdog Winner of the Oscars!
To qualify, your net worth must be under แน50,000 as of 3PM PST on March 6th. No alts allowed.
Predict who will be the Underdog Winner on the Oscars 2024 Leaderboard after the dust has settled! Add any traders making their way up the rankings that aren't yet listed!
Rules
Market resolves 100% to the highest qualifying person on the Oscars leaderboard at close
Market resolves the day after the event's conclusion, unless significant markets are still in contention, in which case they'll be briefly extended at my discretion. This one closes at 5PM PST on Monday, March 11th.
No bots allowed.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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1,000๐ Top traders
| # | Name | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | แน114 | |
| 2 | แน59 | |
| 3 | แน45 | |
| 4 | แน30 | |
| 5 | แน10 |
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What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEightโs performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why use play money?
Why use play money?Mana (แน) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with แน1,000 for free.
Play money means it's much easier for anyone anywhere in the world to get started and try out forecasting without any risk. It also means there's more freedom to create and bet on any type of question.
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEightโs performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why use play money?
Why use play money?Mana (แน) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with แน1,000 for free.
Play money means it's much easier for anyone anywhere in the world to get started and try out forecasting without any risk. It also means there's more freedom to create and bet on any type of question.