π TET 2024: The Oscars π
This market resolves 60% to 1st place, 30% to 2nd, and 10% to 3rd. Betting any option above 60% is guaranteed to lose mana!
Predict who will be the leaders on the Oscars 2024 Leaderboard after the dust has settled! Add any traders making their way up the rankings that aren't yet listed!
Rules
This market crowns a Gold, Silver, and Bronze winner from the event leaderboard, resolving to 60%, 30%, 10% respectively (W/P/S). The users who win also receive points towards the TET 2024 overall leaderboard:
Gold: 3 points
Silver: 2 points
Bronze: 1 point
Markets resolve the day after the event's conclusion, unless significant markets are still in contention, in which case they'll be briefly extended at my discretion. This one closes at 5PM PST on Wednesday, March 13th.
Bots are not eligible.
1,000π Top traders
| # | Name | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | αΉ71 | |
| 2 | αΉ33 | |
| 3 | αΉ29 | |
| 4 | αΉ22 | |
| 5 | αΉ18 |
People are also trading
π THE OSCARS ARE OVER π
Congratulations to our victors!
π₯ @Ziddletwix
π₯ @houstonEuler
π₯ @Joshua
You'll all be given points on the TET 2024 yearly leaderboard! Be sure to check it out and bet who will take the grand prize for the year overall! π Who will be the winners of the Trending Events Tournament 2024? π [αΉ5000 in prizes!]
Check out these upcoming TET events!
π Who will be winners of March Madness on Manifold? πβ
π Who will be winners of Manifest 2024 on Manifold? πβ
@houstonEuler I think it's more likely you should be in 2nd and the profit is temporarily missing than that it was fake profit.
@Joshua I've seen some profit missing before, but have never seen it completely disappear. Hope it gets fixed. Thanks!
Update: It's back, phew!
@traders based on feedback from the last market, and general leaderboard wonkiness, I'm going to extend the close date of this market to Wednesday, March 13th. I reserve the right to change that again if needed - you should think of the spirit of the close date as "when the leaderboard has mostly settled".
After this market closes I'll give some thinking to the final structure before creating the next batch of TET markets.
My profit on my account is going up as things resolve, but my status on the leaderboard is dropping. It was ~2000 then ~1000, then this. Known bug?
@Joshua https://manifold.markets/Tripping/how-many-oscars-will-oppenheimer-wi?r=WmlkZGxldHdpeA Top optionβs only at 8 gotta boost this higher for a true Oppenheimer sweep
@Ziddletwix Alas I draw the line at actually counting how many things I'm betting on. No math here, only vibes.
@traders there's now an Underdog prize for the Oscars as well!
[αΉ1,000 PRIZE] π Who will be the Underdog Winner of the Oscars on Manifold? πβ
@houstonEuler (I messed this up the first time but note that #1 resolves to 60%, so no need to bet over)
What is this?
What is Manifold?
Are our predictions accurate?
Why use play money?
Why use play money?People are also trading
What is this?
What is Manifold?
Are our predictions accurate?
Why use play money?
Why use play money?