πŸ† Who will be winners of the Oscars on Manifold? πŸ†
Basic
14
αΉ€1890
resolved Mar 14
10%9%
0.2%
0.8%Other

πŸ† TET 2024: The Oscars πŸ†

This market resolves 60% to 1st place, 30% to 2nd, and 10% to 3rd. Betting any option above 60% is guaranteed to lose mana!

Predict who will be the leaders on the Oscars 2024 Leaderboard after the dust has settled! Add any traders making their way up the rankings that aren't yet listed!

Rules

  • This market crowns a Gold, Silver, and Bronze winner from the event leaderboard, resolving to 60%, 30%, 10% respectively (W/P/S). The users who win also receive points towards the TET 2024 overall leaderboard:

    • Gold: 3 points

    • Silver: 2 points

    • Bronze: 1 point

  • Markets resolve the day after the event's conclusion, unless significant markets are still in contention, in which case they'll be briefly extended at my discretion. This one closes at 5PM PST on Wednesday, March 13th.

  • Bots are not eligible.

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αΉ€1,000
and
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πŸ† THE OSCARS ARE OVER πŸ†

Congratulations to our victors!

You'll all be given points on the TET 2024 yearly leaderboard! Be sure to check it out and bet who will take the grand prize for the year overall! πŸ† Who will be the winners of the Trending Events Tournament 2024? πŸ† [αΉ€5000 in prizes!]

Check out these upcoming TET events!

/DanMan314/-who-will-be-winners-of-march-madne

/DanMan314/-who-will-be-winners-of-manifest-20

Weird, I completely dropped off the leaderboard after being in 2nd with a 14k+ profit.

@houstonEuler I think it's more likely you should be in 2nd and the profit is temporarily missing than that it was fake profit.

@Joshua I've seen some profit missing before, but have never seen it completely disappear. Hope it gets fixed. Thanks!

Update: It's back, phew!

@traders based on feedback from the last market, and general leaderboard wonkiness, I'm going to extend the close date of this market to Wednesday, March 13th. I reserve the right to change that again if needed - you should think of the spirit of the close date as "when the leaderboard has mostly settled".

After this market closes I'll give some thinking to the final structure before creating the next batch of TET markets.

My profit on my account is going up as things resolve, but my status on the leaderboard is dropping. It was ~2000 then ~1000, then this. Known bug?

@Panfilo Yeah I wouldn't trust the leaderboards while things are still resolving

bought αΉ€10 YES

I'm all-in on Oppie winning basically everything

@Joshua https://manifold.markets/Tripping/how-many-oscars-will-oppenheimer-wi?r=WmlkZGxldHdpeA Top option’s only at 8 gotta boost this higher for a true Oppenheimer sweep

@Ziddletwix Alas I draw the line at actually counting how many things I'm betting on. No math here, only vibes.

@traders there's now an Underdog prize for the Oscars as well!

/DanMan314/m1000-prize-who-will-be-the-underdo

houstonEulerboughtαΉ€20 YES

@houstonEuler (I messed this up the first time but note that #1 resolves to 60%, so no need to bet over)

sold αΉ€38 YES
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