Will Manifold have an anime girl mascot by April 1, 2023
➕
Plus
52
Ṁ14k
resolved Apr 1
Resolved
YES

Get
Ṁ1,000
and
S3.00
Sort by:
predictedNO

Sigh. Well, if it must be, then at least I can suggest...

predictedNO

Ouch.

I AM ALIVE

@Sinclair my fave of these is

predictedNO

@ManifoldMarkets Is this actually a permanent change, or is this strictly an April Fool's Day thing?

It's not my market, but unless this mascot is a permanent change, this doesn't seem like it should qualify for YES, since otherwise Manifold doesn't actually have it as a mascot, it's just a hoax.

predictedNO

Also, this question was addressed in the comments prior to resolution, but you chose not to chime in, even though you apparently had already made up your mind about how it would factor into your decision, which seems like poor form. No opportunity was given for NO bettors to weigh in before a controversial decision was made.

predictedNO

Well, I see that while the other April Fool’s changes have been reverted, the profile pic for the official Manifold Account still shows the new image, so it looks like it may be a permanent change.

It does still seem like a big stretch to call that a mascot though. A mascot usually has more than just a single image. Typically they have a name, persona, are used in ads, etc.

predictedNO

It changed back, so it looks like it was not permanent after all.

@JimHays Mana-chan will return, some day

predictedNO

@Sinclair I agree with @JimHays wholeheartedly. It's quite clear that the mascot of Manifold is not an anime girl.

Given https://manifold.markets/MartinRandall/will-manifold-do-something-for-apri and that this market closes by Apr 2, I decided that buying NO is not very wise.

predictedNO

@ValeryCherepanov I don’t think “pretends to have for April fools” qualifies “has”.

@JimHays hmm good point

predictedYES

@JimHays Sure it does. For one day.

cute girl who is a transformer that turns into a paper crane

cursed

predictedYES
predictedNO
Anime girl orbited by crystal balls displaying futures scenes
predictedNO
Anime girl surrounded crystal balls containing different futures
predictedNO
Anime magic girl in front of computers displaying charts and graphs.
predictedNO
Anime witch looking into crystal ball

The cover image seems pretty good

Indigo hair and eyes, classy black dress, flipping off the camera, in front of a pointless gradient background.
Truly captures the spirit of manifold

© Manifold Markets, Inc.Terms + Mana-only TermsPrivacyRules