This market resolves PROB according to this formula:

2^(# gfs) = odds, then convert odds to probability

0 gf = 1:1 = 50%

1 gf = 2:1 = 67%

2 gf = 4:1 = 80%

3 gf = 8:1 = 88%

4 gf = 16:1 = 94%

A gf is a girlfriend/boyfriend/enbyfriend

Sex friends / cuddle friends count as 0.5 of a gf.

If I am uncertain whether I'm dating someone, I'll add count them as a fractional gf

Details: I'm poly. I usually don't date people seriously, but I want to.

This question is asking about how many gfs I have concurrently on the last day of this year (not the total this year)

More readable version (pls arb):