This market focuses on the precision of the final outcome in the first market that I created on Manifold, hearby 'My First Market.'

For this market to resolve as TRUE, the outcome of 'My First Market' must be tightly concentrated, specifically within a 1% range, meaning any outcome between 49% Yes and 49% No:

49% ≤ outcome of 'My First Market' ≤ 51%

This signifies a high level of convergence in the results. If the outcome falls outside this range by the end of 2024, the market will resolve as FALSE.

Stake your prediction on the narrow margin of the final result in 'My First Market'!

See 'My First Market' below: