Which team will win Jet Lag: The Game season 15 (Tag EUR It All Stars)?
18
600Ṁ5321
Oct 21
0.8%
Toby & Sam
99%
Michelle & Adam
0.2%
Brian & Ben
0.1%
Other

To avoid spoilers, I plan to close this market before the finale airs on Nebula, and to wait to resolve it until the finale airs on YouTube.

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Resolve?

I think the best way to avoid sending out a maximally-spoilery notification will be to just leave this open until next week

@SimonWestlake Dosent them jumping to 98% already kinda do that?

@PhillipThode Probably, but not quite as definitively as a resolution, and I thought there was a chance of no notification being sent (I'm not sure if the market movement notification always triggers with a certain amount of movement, or how big that movement has to be). The odds of avoiding a notification were also improved by Adam and Michelle already being considered the frontrunners (though they had been bet down to like 60% iirc, so not really)

In hindsight though, the best move would have been to close the market before it could be bet up to 99%, ideally before this ep aired. I had to make a decision quickly, and I hadn't previously thought this possibility through, so I stuck with the letter of what I put in this description, which only referenced the finale, not the episode that crowns a winner (which is harder to predict).

Lesson learned for the future. I apologize to anyone who got spoiled.

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