Will it rain on the 2024 College Football Playoff National Championship Game
25
258
490
resolved Jan 9
Resolved
YES

Get Ṁ200 play money

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Thanks everyone for participating! This was fun!

bought Ṁ118 of YES

Does hail count?

@NFL moot point. Hail and rain!

visual confirmation on Traffic cams and WX radar.

According to Apple WX it is raining now. Any visual confirmations:?

so far it appears no rain since kick-off on the rain/weather radar

bought Ṁ50 of NO

20% chance as of kickoff

predicted YES

Roof currently leaking due to rain.

predicted YES

thunderstorms and tornado watch right now, 1 hour to go

predicted NO

If it's raining in Houston but they close the roof (as what happened during last year's Championship game at SOFI), this should resolve as NO, right?

@AjayChabra I think the better decision would be if there is rain at the stadium. For the internationals and non-resident insiders it is fairer. It was not set up as a trick question, but great point!

bought Ṁ200 of YES

@AjayChabra even assuming that interpretation, this should resolve yes because of the leaking :)

predicted NO

@aok If it's on the field during the game, then sure. But sounds like it was pregame. Also while there are reports of severe weather today, I'm seeing by some sources that the storm has passed? According to some weather radars it looks like it stopped raining, by game time start. It seems unclear, would like to see a definitive source either way.

bought Ṁ30 of YES

According to NOAA climate data, the chance of rain in Houston on any given January 8th is 34.2%. However, the game only lasts a few hours, although it's not clear exactly what would count as the start and end of the game for this market.

@Eiim my belief is a YES will be if rain falls at any time from the whistle for the kick off until the final play is complete.