Lemonde.fr, main media in France, has been saying "Prigojin has been killed" on the front page since Putin decleration. From here, it's uncontroversially a yes.

@figo OP listed three media sources in the description

@MrLuke255 aw the fine prints ;)

This is a pretty uncontroversial NO resolution.

The media are still using terms like “Putin says” and “presumed dead”. And as a sense-check, the Manifold death markets which were trading at 95% when this market was created are trading at 96% and 97% (and one has even been unresolved and reopened by the admins).

If you want to bet on whether his death will be confirmed by the end of the week, that market is here:

@SimonGrayson Agreed. I bought YES first but then read the fine print.

BBC says putin didn't fully confirm

>A reminder that the BBC has not verified that Prigozhin was on board the plane.
>presumed death of Prigozhin
>presumed death

"Russia confirms" has been analogous to "this is probably not true".

@Bart5f6d Sold my position.

putin sends his regards Wagner boss Yevgeny Prigozhin latest: Putin breaks silence over plane crash - BBC News

The Guardian is reposting "alternative theories":
https://www.theguardian.com/world/2023/aug/24/is-yevgeny-prigozhin-really-dead-not-everyone-is-convinced

(edit: a̶r̶t̶i̶c̶l̶e̶ ̶s̶e̶e̶m̶s̶ ̶t̶o̶ ̶h̶a̶v̶e̶ ̶4̶0̶4̶'̶d̶.̶ Now "Vladimir Putin appears to confirm death of Yevgeny Prigozhin", which still seems to be weasel wording a bit)

Is Yevgeny Prigozhin really dead? Not everyone is convinced

Alternative theories abound, fuelled by his reappearance after being reported killed in a 2019 plane crash in Africa

@BarrDetwix The link in this comment takes you to a 404, but clicking on the card takes you to the same link (afaict) and the article is there. I can't figure it out

@Frogswap Thank you, I figured it out and fixed the link (it was 'split' somehow)

@BarrDetwix Ah, that explains it. My URL bar was autofilling the rest of the link, so I thought there wasn't a difference

I’ve heard that DNA was used to confirm I will check the the sources that matter

Five hours to go and the media sources are still using phrases like “reported death”.

This Guardian analysis even starts with the word “if”!

The odds have dropped to 34%, and it’s looking a lot like time decay at this point. I’m not trading in this market, but it seems to me like even 34% is a bit high with only a few hours to go!

In the last hour:
- BBC: "reported death"
- Guardian: "presumed death"
- Reuters: "believed to have killed"

As of 7:30 AM (half way through the 24 hours):

• The Guardian's home page has two references to "Prigozhin’s reported death"

• The BBC's main headline appends "Russia says" to the news and this new article says in the headline that he "may be dead"

So this definitely isn't ready to resolve YES just yet!

Guardian per Reuters