The fouth season of the Manifold leagues is coming to an end!

The countdown timer was reached at 8:00 AM BST (roughly when this market was created) and you can see how far past it we are at the top of the page if you click on your league. Now we wait for our positions to be frozen as per the rules:

"Once the countdown is reached the leaderboards will freeze at a random time in the following 24h to determine final ranks"

Will this freeze happen in the first 12 hours?

When it happened in previous seasons:

• Season 1 - 12 hours 6 minutes

• Season 2 - 12 hours 22 minutes

• Season 3 - 17 hours 5 minutes

Will season 4 be the first season with an anticlimactically quick ending?

If this freeze occurs in the first half of the 24 hour window (by 8:00 PM BST), this market will resolve to YES

If our totals can still move around after that point and the freeze comes later, this market will resolve to NO

If it is not possible to determine when the freeze happened (or there is some unexpected element of the leagues which renders this market meaningless), this market will resolve to N/A

(Note - this will resolve based on the official time that Manifold give for the league having frozen and closed. You can look at the past three seasons to see what time that was. For that reason, I won't immediately resolve the market to NO once we pass the 12 hour mark - instead I will wait until the leagues have closed and a timestamp is visible)