The Champions League group stages start on the week of 19th/20th September and run until the week of 12th/13th December.
There are four teams in each group. They each play each other twice, and at the end of the six matchdays, the top two teams qualify for the knockout stages.
Which two teams will qualify? The market will resolve as 50% to each of the two teams.
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Resolves to Real Madrid and Napoli.
These markets resolve to 50% for each of the two qualifying teams. In future, it will probably make sense for markets like this to be unlinked markets where each team can resolve to 100% - but those kind of unlinked markets didn't exist when I created this year's group stage markets back in September!
Regarding general stats, Real Madrid is leading significantly ahead having a market value of 1.03 Billion (https://www.transfermarkt.de/real-madrid/startseite/verein/418) compared to 585,75 Million for Napoli (https://www.transfermarkt.de/ssc-neapel/startseite/verein/6195), 189.65 Million for Union Berlin (https://www.transfermarkt.de/1-fc-union-berlin/startseite/verein/89) and 126.20 Million for Braga (https://www.transfermarkt.de/sc-braga/startseite/verein/1075). Regarding current performance stats, Real won 8, tied 1 and lost 1 of its 10 past matches, Napoli won 5, tied 2 and lost 3 of its past 10 matches, Union lost 8 and won 2 of its past 10 matches and Braga won 7, tied 2 and lost 1 of its past 10 matches. Now respecting that Braga is playing in a less competitive nation league (https://theanalyst.com/na/2023/08/the-strongest-leagues-in-world-football-opta-power-rankings/) than the other 3 teams, Real also here shows significantly higher rankings.
I took the liberty to have an overview of the performance of another team in the group C where REAL MADRID is leading,
NAPOLI: The Italian champions have played two matches in Group C, winning one and losing one. They started with a 2-1 away victory against Braga, with goals from Giovanni Di Lorenzo and an own goal by Braga's Sikou Niakate
. In their second match, they suffered a 1-0 defeat at the hands of Real Madrid
. Napoli currently sits in second place in the group, tied on points with Real Madrid and Braga.
Union Berlin: The German team is making its debut in the Champions League this season. They have played two matches in Group C, losing both. In their first match, they were defeated 1-0 by Real Madrid, conceding a late goal.
. In their second match, they suffered a heartbreaking 3-2 loss to Braga, with Braga scoring the winning goal in the fourth minute of stoppage time.
. Union Berlin is currently in last place in the group.
Braga: The Portuguese team has also played two matches in Group C, winning one and losing one. They started with a 2-1 home defeat against Napoli, with their only goal coming from Bruma.
. In their second match, they secured a dramatic 3-2 away victory against Union Berlin, with André Castro scoring the winning goal in the last minute of the game.
. Braga is currently in third place in the group, tied on points with Real Madrid and Napoli.
source of info : how is the team Napoli, union and Braga team doing at the champion league (perplexity.ai)
This clearly shows once again the advantage Real Madrid have on other open and how they are displaying them authority and seniority through winning every game if the opportunity present itself.
Real Madrid is reportedly scouring the market for young central defensive options. The La Liga leaders have been stretched thin in defense this season after a spate of injuries to key players.
Having lost Eder Militao (ACL) potentially for the season and another experienced campaigner, with kepa arrizabalage,jude bellingham and aurelien tchouameni the team is on his best, according (as per SPORT). Real Madrid’s next game for the Champions League 2023-2024 is against SC Braga on Tuesday, 24 October 2023 at 3:00 PM EST. this will be a game changer and i am personally looking forward to this game.
Napoli has a strong performance record, particularly in home games. They won their away game against Braga, showcasing their ability to secure points even on foreign soil. Additionally, their home win percentage of 67% suggests they are formidable opponents when playing in front of their home crowd. Napoli's scoring average of 2.34 goals per game at home indicates a potent attacking force, capable of breaking down defenses effectively in their own stadium.
Furthermore, Napoli has not lost any away games so far, demonstrating their resilience and ability to avoid defeat on the road. Their away win percentage of 50% indicates they are competitive in away matches, while their 1.71 goals scored per game away from home show they can find the back of the net even in challenging environments. (Footy Stats)
Real Madrid is one of the most successful clubs in the history of the UEFA Champions League; they have won the competition 14 times, which is a record. Real Madrid has played in 16 finals, which is also a record. This is why I strongly believe they are a strong team in group C. real Madrid is to debut its formation with a very powerful 4-3-1-2 from last season 4-3-3 this happened to favor a strong midfield and big attack, according to '' As for the building, AS.com'', a Spanish sports news website.
Since the introduction of the new format of the champions league, Real Madrid are the only team to boast a clean sweep (100% rate) of group stage progressions, competing and progressing in the 31 occasions on which they have qualified for the tournament, more than any other club in Europe. The club has a rich history in the tournament, with their players dominating a host of player records for the tournament including goals, wins, and appearances; the club itself has won the competition 14 times, twice as many times as the second highest total.
With two wins from their first two matches now, including an away win against their highest rated opponent in the group, Napoli (the defending champions of the Italian First Division - Serie A), Real Madrid couldn't be better poised to not just qualify but also win the group. The Home Advantage they have here is also key. It is often emphasized by pundits and former players that to get far in the competition one should focus on winning their home matches and avoiding defeat in away games. A simple study done on the group stage in 2013 showed that 47% of the matches were won by the home team, with 21% ending in stalemates and only 32% being won by the away team. They have now played and won arguably their most difficult match this season on paper so it really is a case of who qualifies WITH them.
https://manifold.markets/SimonGrayson/champions-league-20234-who-will-qua-01868d4d33ab?r=Q2hlcg
