Who will have higher net favorability on Election Day: Tim Walz or JD Vance? (538 average) | Manifold

Who will have higher net favorability on Election Day: Tim Walz or JD Vance? (538 average)

Plus

46

Ṁ7012

resolved Nov 5

1D

1W

1M

ALL

100%96%

Tim Walz

4%

JD Vance

Resolves N/A if either of them gets replaced before election day.

Resolves 50/50 if their net favorability is identical.

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#🇺🇸 US Politics

#🇺🇸 2024 US Presidential Election

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bought Ṁ2,250 NO

@Simon74fe it’s Election Day, resolves to Walz, not super close

bought Ṁ50 YES

Quite unlikely that it will be Vance, but this is an election, there are months to go, and anything can happen. Walz could have some truly terrible skeleton in his closet.

I'd love to see the same question for Trump and Harris, if you want to make it! If not then I might.

Go ahead! I'm out of Mana at the moment

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