Which colour door will be the right door - V2
10
1kṀ2348
Jun 30
11%
Red door
16%
Blue Door
11%
Green Door
11%
Orange Door
11%
Purple Door
10%
Pink door
12%
White Door
12%
Grey Door

Welcome to a Manifold market designed as a clear and dynamic variation of the classic Monty Hall problem!

This is my second attempt at this question the first attempt used the wrong question type so couldn't work as planned

If you are interested in the Monty Hall problem see here:

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Monty_Hall_problem


1. Initial Setup: This market begins with 10 distinct coloured doors, listed as your betting options. One of these doors is designated as the 'correct' door, and the remaining 9 are 'wrong' doors.

2. Eliminations (by Market Creator): Starting 2025-06-02, I will periodically eliminate a total of 9 'wrong' doors. Eliminations will not necessarily be daily. Each eliminated door will be resolved 'No'. I know the correct door and will always eliminate a wrong one.

  • Timing Note: Eliminations will likely occur at a reasonable hour in the UK (my time zone).
    All question doors will be resolved by 2025-06-30

3. Market Resolution: The market resolves immediately upon the 9th and final 'wrong' door elimination announcement. The single door not eliminated will then resolve 'Yes'.

Resolution Criteria: The winning option is the coloured door NOT eliminated by the market creator. All other options resolve as incorrect.


4. Market Creator's Stance: I will not bet on this market.

Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!
Sort by:

The second door eliminated is the yellow door.

The first door eliminated is the Black Door.

bought Ṁ30 YES

I like the idea!

© Manifold Markets, Inc.TermsPrivacy