How many people will report to 'currently have Long Covid' according to the CDC Household Pulse Survey, on Dec 1, 2024? | Manifold

How many people will report to 'currently have Long Covid' according to the CDC Household Pulse Survey, on Dec 1, 2024?

Plus

25

Ṁ4106

Jan 31

8%

<4.0%

8%

4.0 - 5.0%

6%

5.1 - 5.5%

15%

5.6 - 6.6%

61%

> 6.6%

1.3%

Other

October 2023: 5.3%

October 2022: 7.0%

https://www.cdc.gov/nchs/covid19/pulse/long-covid.htm

"Currently have long covid, as a percentage of all adults"

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#chronic illness

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1,000

and

3.00

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@traders just to be clear, this will resolve based on the Nov-Dec number, which will be closest to the intent of the question and includes Dec 1. Also, numbers have been really high this year and the market hasn't adapted ;)

bought Ṁ15 > 6.6% YES

Currently at over 8%!

https://www.cdc.gov/nchs/covid19/pulse/long-covid.htm

I'm pretty skeptical of this dataset, but alright..

@Siebe I guess if having a sniffly nose after COVID counts the same as being bedridden and disabled after COVID the numbers will be quite high. At the end of the day it really depends where the line is drawn.

As a percentage of all adults, or all adults who have ever had Covid?

@parhizj as a percentage of all adults. (Sorry, missed this)

"Ever had Covid" stands at 55% or something which is completely unrealistic

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